Thursday, April 24, 2014

A simple EURUSD trading strategy - the Parabolic SAR and MACD

In my pervious post was a simple trading system on the EURUSD evaluated; in this post is another trading system evaluated.

Trading system
The trading system is the use of the Parabolic SAR indicator as primary indicator and the MACD as a secondary indicator.

The MACD is in the post “TradingForex using the trading strategy 123 trading signals described and the Parabolic SAR indicator is in the post “Parabolic SAR Stop and Reverse Technical Indicator” described.

Time frame
The evaluation focuses on the charts 15 minutes, 30 minutes and 1 hour.

Note
Please note that this post is only illustrative and the purpose is to give insight into how to trade. 

Evaluation 1
The evaluation is on the EURUSD.

The charts show that the system is working well in connection with this evaluation; the charts also illustrate that the market is in a trend-following market condition which is the market condition the parabolic SAR works best in.

The time frame; the trend direction the parabolic SAR indicates;  is longer in the 1 hour chart than in the 15 and 30 minute charts which does that the 15 and 30 minute charts are better to use than the 1 hour chart in connection to the time frame in a trade.

The time frame in a trade on the 30 minute chart is days; in the 15 minute chart is the time frame in a trade a day or hours.

The charts
The charts; 15 minutes, 30 minutes and 1 hour; are illustrated in the following; trades are illustrated as long and short trades; first is the Parabolic SAR trend evaluated and second the MACD; is the lines crossing each other and indicating that the trend direction is changing.





Evaluation 2
The evaluation is on the NZDUSD.

The charts show that the system is working well in connection with this evaluation; the charts also illustrate that the market is both sideways and trend-following; the Parabolic SAR is difficult to use in a sideways market where the currency rate is sideways.

The time frame; the trend direction the parabolic SAR indicates;  is longer in the 1 hour chart than in the 15 and 30 minute charts which does that the 15 and 30 minute charts are better to use than the 1 hour chart in connection to the time frame in a trade.

The time frame in a trade on the 30 minute chart is days; in the 15 minute chart is the time frame in a trade a day or hours.




Conclusion
In connection to this evaluation is the trading strategy Parabolic SAR and MACD working best in a trend-following market.

The 15 minute and 30 minute charts are the best charts to get an indicator of the trend direction as the trade is shorter than on 1 hour chart.

Note this evaluation is only illustrative and only inspiration to traders’ thoughts.